2021 Assembly Election:- A combination of retention and expansion.

 In 2021 India will be having 5 assemblies elections. States which are going for the polls are West Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and one Union territories is Puducherry. May be in the month of march the Election Commission Of India will announce the dates for the states election. 

This election is basically based on the theory of retention and expansion. In West Bengal where BJP confidence is too high after winning the 18 seats in general election 2019. In Kerala CPM is confident to win election in row to break the 40 years jinx of assembly election. In Tamil Nadu DMK and its ally wants to repeat the Lok Sabha momentum. DMK is out of power for a decade.In Assam the local player will set the narration for the election. Puducherry will be the perfect example for the expansion or retention. Recently due to turf between Lt. Governor Kiran Bedi and Ex. CM Narayanasamy.

West Bengal is the favourite state among all the poll bounding states.Here RSS and BJP mission expansion has to be executed. BJP and RSS along with its 33 subsidiary organisation working for the power they want to pursue from a long time. NDA will be fighting the election as they are fighting everywhere on the ideology of HINDUTAVA. In a recent interview to India Today Home Minister Amit Shah made it clear that they will fight election on the cultural issues. After seeing the performance of BJP in Lok Sabha 2019 TMC got setback. Mamata Banerjee tries to build good relation with the other opposition parties like INC and left Parties but failed. After losing her close aide like Mukul Roy,Arjun Singh and Suvendu Adhikari. After all this setbacks Mamata Banerjee hired Poll Master Prashant Kishor team IPAC. Since June 2019 Prashant Kishor s started working for TMC. His team is playing very vital role there. Famous Journalist from West Bengal Snigdhendu Bhattacharya also mentioned that Prashant Kishor is running campaign for TMC make over. Prashant Kishor have taken Bengal election as a challenge. He tweeted that if BJP will cross two digit he will leave the space. 

2021 Tamil Nadu assembly election is the first election without two veteran Karunanidhi and Jayalalithaa. Last time Congress performance in the state dip the DMK. Only 16% seats were won by the Congress party whereas DMK won its 50% seats. UPA which is consist of DMK and INC will be wanting to repeat the Lok Sabha performance in the state assembly. DMK also not in mood to entertain Congress. They had given their share in a good amount during Lok Sabha election time. DMK is not leaving any stone unturned. They have hired IPAC which is Prashant Kishor team. They are running campaign to win election for MK Stalin. On the NDA side BJP allied with AIADMK to expand its wing there. The powers fight within the AIADMK may affect them. Before election VK Sasikala completed her punishment and now out. She might create the confusion among the voters. As she is trying to promote her nephew. BJP here looks for the expansion. They got AIADMK as their partner may now but in future they will be big brother. 

Assam election may lead to emergence of the regional party. There are many regional leader who came during the time of CAA protest. CAA was the dream law brought by the ruling party at the center but it became the skeleton in their throat. The regional interest matters alot in Assam assembly election. There is vaccum of leadership. Tarun Gogogi the veteran INC is also no more. Two of the famous punch line of the BJP will suits for the Assam election are VOCAL FOR LOCAL and AATMNIRBHAR ASSAM. Locals will be vocal for their interests are Akhil Gogoi, Pranab Doley, Lurinjyoti Gogoi and Badruddin Ajmal. Assam BJP leader Himanta Biswa Sarma said recently that he doesn't want to fight election. If he really don't fight this message will impact BJP. Congress here trying to get back the Assam where they ruled for three consecutive terms. They are following the Chhatishgarh mode of election 2018. They are allying with regional parties but not opening the card on the CM face. 

Kerala is the only bastion left for the LEFT party. Most important point come here is that EX. Congress President Rahul Gandhi is MP from Wayanad. He is aggressively campaigning for his party. BJP also trying their best. They have tried to use the Sabrimala temple issue. The buzz came soon after as a local news channel Asianet News-CFore showed the opinion polls that LDF may break 40 years jinx of Kerala Assembly. In Kerala right now retention policy will be the prominent one. 

Puducherry is a union territory. Here UPA and NDA are on the battle. NDA is consist of BJP and AIADMK whereas UPA is consist of INC and DMK. Recently UPA lost its majority in the assembly. The reason behind this collapsing was the nomination of three MLA by the ex. Lt. Gov kiran Bedi. Here may be BJP will try to become the big brother after the election. 

Out of five assembly election almost expansion will matter for the BJP whereas retention will matter for Congress in four state except for West Bengal. Assam will may lead towards the emergence of regional parties we had witnessed around 90's.